Automotive mobility in the world. What alternatives ?

Résumé:

Pascal Feillard
Head of Marketing Intelligence & Foresight
Secretary General of IVM

Mobility :  Ability of individuals to set up a physical link between their activities (i.e. social/economic/cultural) and their housing and to manage the changes of state and location

Some data
70-75% of European Mobility is done with automobile
60% of European Mobility is urban or peri-urban
In 2009, 50% of the world population lives in urban areas, 80% in the developed countries
In 2020, 60% of the world population will live in urban areas, 80% in the developing countries
Of the 20 largest urban areas, only 3 will be in developed countries (Tokyo, New York et Los Angeles)

What automobile for what cities in 2015/2020 ?